Weekly Market Features

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Autogas

Future pathways for LPG autogas demand in Turkey and South Korea – Week 03 2026

Jan 19, 2026

This week we explore a couple of growth scenarios for two of the largest autogas consumers globally: Turkey and S. Korea, highlighting the importance for the LPG industry [...]

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Balance

2026 in review: expectations for higher supply requiring retail segments needing to absorb additional tons – Week 02 2026

Jan 12, 2026

2026 is expected to see significant growth in LPG gas plant production. With demand within these regions not expected to grow by vast amounts, the majority of the volume will head to the export market. On the demand side, LPG consumption will see the largest growth in the retail sector [...]

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Production

Assessing Venezuela’s LPG balance under a changing geopolitical landscape – Week 01 2026

Jan 05, 2026

Recent geopolitical developments in Venezuela have raised significant questions and uncertainty around oil and gas markets, with most attention understandably focused on crude oil production, reserves, and the potential implications for global oil balances. In this article, we aim to unpack the potential impacts on LPG markets, which, while not of the same scale or global influence as crude oil, could still prove meaningful for global LPG dynamics, particularly over the medium term [...]

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Petrochemicals

US Petchems: operating rates rise strongly in Q3 – Week 50 2025

Dec 15, 2025

In Week 30 we highlighted the growth of US ethylene production in first half 2025. That growth has continued into Q3, according to the latest AFPM figures. Effective capacity utilisation has increased to 89%. As it turned out first-half year official ethylene production was slightly down on our forecast and effective capacity utilisation was only at 84%, so Q3 production represents a major step forward. Part of the increased production in Q3 went into inventory, but both net ethylene derivative export trade and domestic ethylene derivative consumption were up on Q2 levels [...]

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Tariffs

Free to Read

2025 in review: How actual market indicators stacked up against early forecasts – Week 49 2025

Dec 08, 2025

2025 was marked by significant volatility, driven largely by the impact of US–China tariffs, which remained the market’s key sensitivity throughout the year. NGLStrategy’s early projections for 2025 did not anticipate the magnitude of these tariffs in the base-case scenario. As a result, the actual tariff levels materially reduced Chinese imports and placed sustained downward pressure on LPG prices in the East. In this week’s update, we revisit several of our 2025 estimates for key indices, originally presented at our 2024 London seminar held in late November 2024 [...]

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Retail

Focus on Indonesia – Week 48 2025

Dec 01, 2025

With the US-China trade tariffs impacting the LPG seaborne trade market for the majority of 2025, one country which has been seen to increase its supply of LPG from the US as a result is Indonesia [...]

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Shipping

Expanding the Panama Canal: Pipeline infrastructure as the next major shift in NGL logistics – Week 46 2025

Nov 17, 2025

Among the upcoming developments set to reshape LPG/ethane seaborne trade is a proposed LPG/ethane pipeline project announced by the Panama Canal Authority (ACP) in September. The concept envisions a 76-kilometer LPG and ethane pipeline corridor with transfer capacity of up to 2.5 million barrels per day, linked to marine terminals on both the Atlantic and Pacific, where ships would discharge cargo on the Atlantic side and load on the Pacific side before heading toward Asian markets [...]

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Petrochemicals

S. Korea – can naphtha capacity be replaced by ethane? – Week 45 2025

Nov 10, 2025

As reported in NGLStrategy’s Weekly Report for Week 35, a number of petrochemical companies in S. Korea announced plans to restructure their operations, which could lead to a reduction in the total ethylene capacity in the country. This week, we look closer at the implications of this reduced naphtha cracking to the Asian region and potential scenarios for overcoming this lost of capacity, including replacement of some of the capacity with ethane [...]

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China

Spotlight on US-China relations – Week 44 2025

Nov 03, 2025

Since the recent US presidential election, relations between the US and China have been at the forefront of geopolitical discussions, and for LPG has resulted in a change in the overall global landscape, primarily as a result of import tariffs, port fees and overall market uncertainty. According to the General Administration of Customs of the People’s Republic of China (GACC), the volume of propane imported into China from the US has declined by over 4 mm t in the first 9 months of 2025 compared to 2024, at the same time increasing supply from other regions, primarily the Middle East where possible [...]

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Petrochemicals

Ethylene in Western Europe – Still sick – Week 43 2025

Oct 27, 2025

It has been well documented that the ethylene industry in Western Europe has been under pressure from the current global overcapacity of ethylene production, with a number of plant closures announced throughout 2025. However, the closure of ethylene capacity in Western Europe has improved average effective ethylene plant operating rates in Europe in the first half of this year, but rates are already falling again in the second half of the year. [...]

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Retail

Focus on Turkey’s LPG autogas demand – Week 42 2025

Oct 20, 2025

Turkey is one of the world’s dominant players in the Autogas market, ranking second globally after Russia. In 2024, Turkey’s Autogas consumption reached 3.5 mm t, reaffirming Turkey’s position as Europe’s largest user of Autogas and a major global hub for LPG-based transport. Autogas accounts for about 80% of Turkey’s total LPG consumption, making it the primary outlet for LPG demand and underscoring its central role in Turkey’s transport sector. The country is also unique in having more LPG-powered vehicles than gasoline cars, with an estimated 5.2 million Autogas vehicles in operation. One of the reasons for the preference for LPG as a vehicle fuel vs other alternatives is the cost per liter for the user [...]

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Shipping

Chinese port fees: Bracing for the impact of escalating US/China trade tensions – Week 41 2025

Oct 13, 2025

On 14 October, China’s special port service fee takes effect on U.S.-related vessels (built, flagged, or owned/operated >25%) calling at Chinese ports. While all shipping segments are affected, the LPG market is particularly exposed as U.S.-owned/operated tonnage faces steep incremental costs in an already weak global LPG environment [...]

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